In the last month, we have seen a veritable deluge of good news about climate. The world doesn’t seem to be rushing toward a fiery end caused by mounting “carbon” (CO2) levels attributable to mankind after all. Despite continuously increased atmospheric CO2, global warming seems to have taken a holiday.
On Christmas Eve the prestigious UK Meteorological Office released a new forecast that said since there had been no surface warming data for the last 16 years there would likely be no more warming for the next five years (until 2017). That would mean there’s a 20-year hiatus on global warming. And the MET was a focal point for promoting the global warming scare in the first place.
Then the BBC reluctantly reported the MET statement. The BBC has been (and remains) staunchly warmist. “If the forecast is accurate, the result would be that the global average temperature would have remained relatively static for about two decades.”
Then Dr. James Hansen, a leading warmist activist, admitted that global temps have been flat for the last decade.
So maybe there’s something other than CO2 causing warming? A peer-reviewed paper just released says that the sun’s UV is four to six times stronger than previously thought and can have amplified effects on climate change.
Though warmists used to put down any suggestion of another cause for warming, increasingly the sun is being suggested as a possible cause. The recently leaked UN fifth Assessment Report says the influence of cosmic rays (the sun) could have a greater warming influence than mankind’s emissions … but that was a preliminary draft. It’s interesting to note that the sun has become increasingly quiescent lately.
So, if global warming is at a standstill why can it still be blamed for the “weather extremes” — droughts, floods, Hurricane Sandy, blizzards, heat, etc.? Sixteen years of non-existent warming cannot be the cause of weather extremes. Even the UN IPCC agrees: “There is medium evidence and high agreement that long-term trends in normalized losses have not been attributed to natural or anthropogenic climate change.” (SREX – chapter 4)
But practically every warmist — be they environmentalist, politician, or newspaper columnist — is crying out that exact theme. “It’s the worst ever and we are to blame for it!” The trouble is we don’t check out these claims. “It’s the U.S.’s worst drought!” Nope — 1910, the ’30s, and ’50s were much worse. “Hurricanes are way worse (Sandy)!” Actually Sandy didn’t even qualify as a hurricane upon landfall — globally hurricanes are below the average per year. “Tornadoes are getting horrible!” Well last year tornadoes were 32 per cent less than normal.
“Arctic ice is disappearing!” We don’t know — maybe. Satellites have only been surveying the arctic for 30 years now. Anecdotal evidence from the 1920s and ’30s indicate very severe losses in ice then, even more than now. One thousand years ago Greenland was being farmed by the Vikings.
And on and on. … The evidence is there: the world has warmed 0.6C since the end of the Little Ice Age (1850s) and I’m glad it did. But that warming seems to have been stopped now for a decade and a half with the official forecast of at least another five years of the same. I think that’s why the warmist hype has shifted to weather extremes. When that falls flat, I predict the next big scaremonger tactic will be “The World’s Species are Dying (and man is to blame)!” Check out “www.wattsupwiththat.com” for much more warming data and follow the links to many scientific studies.
Rocky Mountain House